The North American Congress on Latin America (NACLA)
Abstract:
In this special issue of the NACLA Report, we critically examine the rise of green capitalism in the region in the lead-up to COP30 in Belém, Brazil in November.
Topic:
Climate Change, Green Transition, Conference of the Parties (COP), and Green Capitalism
The North American Congress on Latin America (NACLA)
Abstract:
As President Petro ramps up efforts to halt coal exports to Israel, activists push for decisive action and chart a new path for Global South solidarity.
Topic:
Solidarity, Global South, Impunity, Exports, and Activism
Political Geography:
Middle East, Israel, Colombia, Palestine, and South America
The North American Congress on Latin America (NACLA)
Abstract:
Washington’s Venezuela policy has intensified divisions within the opposition, revealing class divides and fears over the fallout from a potential U.S. invasion.
Topic:
Class, Donald Trump, Polarization, Opposition, and Nicolas Maduro
Political Geography:
South America, Venezuela, and United States of America
The North American Congress on Latin America (NACLA)
Abstract:
Amidst protests, President José Raúl Mulino holds firm to social security reform while suspending habeas corpus and attacking unions and striking workers.
The North American Congress on Latin America (NACLA)
Abstract:
As the president pumps $45 billion into ICE over the next three years, activists and communities must balance rapid response with longer-term resistance.
Topic:
Donald Trump, Opposition, Activism, Organizing, and Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE)
The North American Congress on Latin America (NACLA)
Abstract:
This special issue of the NACLA Report traces the returning and disseminating violence that is shaping the Americas today, from border militarization to algorithmic surveillance and the criminalization of dissent.
Topic:
Surveillance, Borders, Violence, Militarization, and Criminalization
The North American Congress on Latin America (NACLA)
Abstract:
Chile’s new far-right president seeks to recycle the military regime's political project, risking hard earned advances in human, Indigenous, and environmental rights.
Topic:
Environment, Human Rights, Domestic Politics, Far Right, and José Antonio Kast
Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED)
Abstract:
After Israel unilaterally broke the ceasefire and resumed the war, the IDF swiftly expanded its footprint in Gaza, taking control of over 75% of the enclave and carrying out record levels of razing and clearing operations before it launched its ground offensive in Gaza City on 16 September.
This campaign has taken a devastating toll on civilians, crammed into three areas not occupied by Israeli ground forces, with about 10,000 civilians killed since March — mainly in airstrikes but also in unprecedented numbers at aid distribution sites.
While Hamas’ military wing is degraded and governing structures battered, the group has adapted by shifting toward guerrilla tactics on the battlefield and establishing informal mechanisms of governance and law enforcement to survive and maintain domestic influence.
Israel has created conditions of chaos and violence around aid distribution. At the same time, looting has sharply increased. The pattern of looting shows no evidence of Hamas’ systematic involvement. Hamas has probably diverted aid through other mechanisms and can continue to do so as long as it retains domestic influence.
Despite opposition from security leaders and growing public support for a ceasefire, Israel’s political leadership continues to pursue “total victory,” a goal increasingly shaped by ideological aims rather than strategic rationale. With little prospect of eliminating Hamas entirely, the government is pursuing a long-term strategy of control: degrading Hamas while blocking alternative Palestinian governing arrangements, pushing Gaza toward unlivable conditions to encourage voluntary emigration, and ultimately obstructing any path to Palestinian sovereignty.
Topic:
Civilians, Hamas, Ceasefire, Armed Conflict, Looting, and 2023 Gaza War
Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED)
Abstract:
“Instead of counting votes, they will count bodies.” This threat was made by Ruth Nina, head of Bolivia's National Action Party (Pan-Bol), if Evo Morales were not allowed to run as her party’s presidential candidate in the 17 August presidential elections.1 Morales has tried in multiple ways to evade a constitutional ban to run again, including using the Pan-Bol platform, but the Supreme Electoral Tribunal impeded this maneuver by revoking the party’s legal status in June.2
Nina's words — articulated at a gathering of supporters of the former president in Cochabamba on 12 July — were particularly shocking, as they came a few weeks after clashes between security forces and Morales supporters left four police officers and four demonstrators dead, as well as dozens injured. This was the latest and most violent episode of a struggle within the Movement for Socialism (MAS) party, which has dominated the country’s politics in the past two decades. The protagonists of this rift have been Morales, who founded the movement and led the country from 2006 to 2019, and his former finance minister, current President Luis Arce. This dispute has led to the implosion of the Movement for Socialism (MAS) party, contributed to aggravating an already complex economic situation, and risks sparking further unrest around an election that could be defined in a runoff on 19 October.
Topic:
Political Violence, Elections, Evo Morales, and Luis Arce
Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED)
Abstract:
On 18 May, Israel launched the anticipated ground operation in northern and southern Gaza as international mediators worked to advance ceasefire negotiations. This offensive is part of Israel’s new plan for Gaza, which it has dubbed Operation Gideon’s Chariots. Announced on 5 May, the plan involves “occupying” Gaza and retaining its territories until the achievement of all war objectives.1 This period has been characterized by intensified Israeli airstrikes, escalated ground operations, the expansion of the buffer zone, and a broader territorial sweep into southern Gaza. The renewed offensive came amid an already dire humanitarian situation, with mass displacement into continuously shrinking zones and an aid blockade that lasted over two months.
In this Q&A, ACLED Middle East Research Manager Salma Eissa discusses the nature of violence in Gaza since the collapse of the ceasefire on 18 March, Israel’s evolving strategy, Hamas’ response, and ongoing truce negotiations.
Topic:
Humanitarian Crisis, Ceasefire, Armed Conflict, and 2023 Gaza War
Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED)
Abstract:
Assassination attempts have surged in Russia-occupied parts of Ukraine since 2022 and especially in the run-up to the Russian annexation of four Ukrainian regions.
Targets include Russia-appointed middle-ranking occupation officials, local collaborators, and the military.
Ukraine expanded its assassination campaign to Russia in the early stages of Russia’s aggression and escalated it both in terms of the number of incidents and the profile of the targets.
Russia is replicating the practice in non-occupied Ukraine but likely struggles to carry out professional operations, relying on local proxies instead.
Extrajudicial executions deny due process to victims, trigger a cycle of violence, and may outlast the actual conventional war.
Topic:
Assassination, Armed Conflict, and Russia-Ukraine War
Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED)
Publication Date:
10-2025
Content Type:
Special Report
Institution:
Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED)
Abstract:
Tanzania’s ruling party, Chama Cha Mapinduzi (CCM), will retain power in the October poll, and President Samia Suluhu Hassan will enter her second and final term.
Victory will be built on systematic repression of both the main opposition party, Chadema, which has effectively been excluded from the poll, and of critical voices from within CCM.
Arrests and disappearances of opposition activists are likely to continue after the election.
Continued repression, in the presence of continued opposition to Hassan within CCM, may reignite calls for meaningful constitutional reforms.
Topic:
Elections, Domestic Politics, Repression, and Activism
Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED)
Abstract:
The events of July 2025 in southern Syria — particularly in the Druze-majority city of al-Suwayda — have drawn renewed attention to a volatile frontier. Since the fall of the Assad regime in December 2024, the provinces of al-Suwayda, Daraa, and Quneitra have experienced a sharp rise in political violence, driven by sectarian tensions, local power struggles, and foreign interventions. In this Q&A, ACLED Middle East Analyst Nancy Ezzeddine explores the roots of the recent escalation, the role of Druze factions and tribal actors, and Israel’s evolving posture toward the area.
Topic:
Foreign Policy, Sectarianism, Syrian War, Violence, and Druze
Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED)
Abstract:
The Wagner Group announced it was leaving Mali in early June after over three years of operating in the country alongside the Malian military (FAMa) against jihadist insurgents. In this Q&A, ACLED Senior Analyst for West Africa Héni Nsaibia breaks down how the mercenary group has affected violence and politics in Mali and what these changes mean for Russia’s involvement in Africa.
Topic:
Politics, Insurgency, Violence, Wagner Group, and Africa Corps