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CIAO DATE: 07/02

The Macedonian Crisis and Balkan Security

Nicholas Whyte, Nadia Alexandrova Arbatova, Dana H. Allin, and François Heisbourg

ESF Working Paper No. 2
July 2001

Centre for European Policy Studies

Foreword

On May 28th, the second meeting of the CEPS/IISS European Security Forum turned its attention to the Kosovar/Albanian insurgency and Balkan security. In other words, the current Macedonian crisis was at the heart of the discussion which greatly benefited from three well focused papers, speaking from clearly distinct geopolitical perspectives.

Thus, Nicholas Whyte suggested tongue-in-check that this time, Europe's hour had finally struck, that Europe's broad-spectrum systemic approach gave the EU pride of place in dealing with the Balkans. For the short run, he mentioned the risk of Kosovar guerrilla activity against KFOR, if the latter's presence were seen as the main obstacle to independence—an 'Irgun scenario', as it was dubbed by the chairman.

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