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CIAO DATE: 01/04

The Indo-Chinese Enlargement Of ASEAN: Implications For Regional Economic Integration

Helen E.S. Nesadurai

Paper #56
November 2003

Institute of Defence and Strategic Studies

Abstract

Will the Indo-Chinese enlargement of ASEAN undermine regional economic integration, or does it have the potential to help consolidate and advance economic integration in Southeast Asia? The paper argues that the Indo-Chinese enlargement of ASEAN has the potential to enhance ASEAN economic integration by helping to extend the dimensions of the ASEAN regional market and the range of internal industrial complementarities this market offers to investors. These potential economic gains will, however, remain unrealised if regional economic integration is undertaken in a manner that ignores socio-economic divisions within and between states. If the benefits of liberalisation and integration are not distributed more equitably amongst populations, then we are likely to see growing challenges to these processes. A 'two-tiered ASEAN' divided between a richer core of original members and a set of poorer, under-developed new members, consequently, threatens the future of ASEAN economic integration. However, the notion of a 'two-tiered ASEAN' should not blind us to the fact that the socio-economic divisions also exist in the original members as well, notable in Indonesia but also in Thailand and the Philippines. Thus, a key challenge for ASEAN economic regionalism in the future, and one that poses a crucial test for the Indo-Chinese states, is that of governance for development at both the regional and national levels to ensure that growth, equity and social justice are delivered. The paper concludes with a brief discussion of some key regional-level programmes that are in place to address such concerns.

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