CIAO DATE: 08/03

From Victory to Success: Afterwar Policy in Iraq

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  Table of Contents (PDF format, 2 pages, 148 kbs)

• Now for the Hard Part (PDF format, 1 page, 68 kb)
  "...the easier phase is over. The part that the United States is less good at, less practiced in, and less politically ready for is still to come."
  By Jessica Tuchman Mathews

• Lessons of the Past (PDF format, 4 pages, 124 kb)
  "The ideal political transition in nation building appears to be the quick transfer of power to legitimately elected local leaders."
  By Minxin Pei

• Don't Forget Afghanistan (PDF format, 1 page, 60 kb)
  "...if the alternative is to wait until Afghanistan possesses a real nationwide administration, then reconstructioon will be delayed indefinitely—and only the Taliban and al Qaeda will benefit."
  By Anatol Lieven

• One Country, Two Plans (PDF format, 5 pages, 164 kb)
  "At a sweep of the U.S. pen, Iraq would turn from a centralized, hierarchical country into a model of participatory democracy."
  By Marina S. Ottaway

• Why Oil Won't Be a Quick Fix (PDF format, 1 page, 84 kb)
  "Better to let the Iraqi political process mature and market forces work than to rush to create an inviting but unstable investment climate for oil in Iraq."
  By Edward C. Chow

• Why Dictators Aren't Dominoes (PDF format, 2 pages, 88 kb)
  "External military threats often strengthen dictators' hold. They inflate autocrats with renewed purpose and determination."
  By Thomas Carothers

• Islam's Weakened Moderates (PDF format, 3 pages, 140 kb)
  "More secular recruits would enable radical Islamist networks to infiltrate western societies more easily."
  By Husain Haqqani

• The Middle East's Muffled Signals (PDF format, 4 pages, 128 kb)
  "If Shiite radicals prevail in Iraq, it is difficult to imagine any meaningful political reform in Saudi Arabia."
  By Daniel Brumberg

• Can Iran and the United States Bridge the Gulf? (PDF format, 1 page, 60 kb)
  "For their part, Iranian leaders have made, at best, only thickly veiled diplomatic overtures to the United States."
  By George Perkovich

• Can Preventive War Cure Proliferation? (PDF format, 4 pages, 108 kb)
  "To be effective against proliferation, preventive war must remove the direct threat and dissuade would-be proliferators."
  By Joseph Cirincione

• Terror's Undiminished Threat (PDF format, 1 page, 56 kb)
  "U.S. military presence on Muslim soil ... may substantially increase grass-roots hostility and, potentially, terrorist recruitment against the U.S. government and Israel."
  By Vincent Cannistraro

• Looking for Legitimacy in All the Wrong Places (PDF format, 3 pages, 112 kb)
  "Americans will not always be able to say to the world, 'trust us, we know what we're doing.'"
  By Robert Kagan