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CIAO DATE: 07/04

Serbia's Embattled Opposition

May 30, 2000

International Crisis Group

Abstract

The recent crackdown by the Belgrade regime on Serbia's independent media and political activists sugguest that Yogoslav President Slobodan Milosevic is more vulnerable than it would appear. Since the Kosovo war ended, Milosevic has proven unable to expand his support base and must struggle with diminishing resources to keep restive constituencies intact. Despite its recognised weakness, the Serbian oposition is capable under certain conditions of removing Milosevic from power and offering better governance. The message of numerous public opinion polls over the past eight moths is that there is an anti-Milosvic majority in Serbia, but that the opposition must work together in coalitions to exploit it.

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