CIAO DATE: 09/04

Homeland Security: A Competitive Strategies Approach

Abstract

The much–reported ‘end of history’ was rudely shattered by the events of Sept. 11, 2001. America’s illusion of security, sense of complacency, and triumphalism were abruptly dispelled by a series of brutal acts that were simply audacious and unfathomable. What used to be unthinkable is now apparently doable.

Threats to the homeland have a new salience since “9–1–1” and will continue to be a critical U.S. national interest for the coming decade. Thus, the United States needs to conduct a serious policy debate over the nature of the risks to homeland security, based on a clear understanding of the vulnerabilities that the 21st century poses. The nation’s leaders must also carefully weigh the policy options available to deter, defend and respond to these threats.

This study provides a unique and holistic framework for thinking about homeland security. Such a strategically based approach is obviously wanting at present. Flurries of new proposals to protect almost every aspect of the nation’s infrastructure are proliferating, far faster than any real threats have emerged. A sound strategic approach is needed. But the essence of strategy is about choices and tradeoffs. Such choices should be based on a rigorous evaluation of the context in which the strategy must operate. Such a strategic evaluation cannot be accomplished in the absence of a process that does not examine three fundamental elements: the context in which a strategy is operative, the capabilities of potential adversaries, and the anticipated interaction of alternative strategies. The approach offered here meets these essential elements.

Full text (PDF format, 84 pages, 354.1 KB)