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CIAO DATE: 6/00

Heterogeneity and Evolution of Expectations
a Model of Currency Crisis

Jasmina Arifovic and Paul Masson

April 10, 2000

Brookings Institution

 

Abstract

A model of a portfolio allocation between mature and emerging markets is simulated with heterogeneous expectations, imitation, and experimentation. Solutions produce periodic crises. The predictions of the model are compared to a representative-agent, rational expectations model with multiple equilibria.

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