Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:
For Israel, this is evidence that its self-reliance doctrine must be nourished with no illusions about foreign support in times of crisis. Moreover, Turkey probably sees NATO more positively since it borders Russia, pushing Ankara toward the West.
Topic:
Defense Policy, NATO, Diplomacy, Military Strategy, and Russia-Ukraine War
Political Geography:
Russia, Europe, Turkey, Ukraine, Middle East, and Israel
Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:
Tashkent’s increasingly critical approach toward Russia and its deepening role in the Organization of Turkic States has positioned the country as Ankara’s most important bridgehead in Central Asia.
Topic:
Security, Diplomacy, Military Strategy, and Conflict
Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:
The delineation of the Libyan and Turkish Exclusive Economic Zones was and remains essential not only for Israel and Egypt but also for others in the region who seek to curtail Erdogan’s ambitions and shore up Egypt’s economic and political stability.
Topic:
Security, Diplomacy, Territorial Disputes, and Conflict
Political Geography:
Europe, Turkey, Middle East, Israel, and Mediterranean
Recent increased attacks on Kurdish targets in northern Syria by
Turkey and the Syrian rebel groups its supports raise the question
whether Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan intends to carry out
his threat of May 2022 to begin another major ground operation
against the Kurds. On the other hand, conciliatory statements
regarding the Assad regime have been sounded recently in Turkey,
and there has been discussion of the possibility of normalizing
relations between the two countries after over a decade of hostility
and competition. These two processes appear to be contradictory,
given that the Syrian regime opposes existing Turkish control of
Syrian territories, and does not wish to see this control broadened. On
the other hand, this may be a calculated Turkish move that aims to
show the Turkish public a concerted multi-faceted effort to confront
both the Kurdish underground and the issue of Syrian refugees in
Turkey. Discussion of events in northern Syria and the web of Syrian
and Turkish interests can be used to assess the question, which trend
will prevail in Turkish-Syrian relations: normalization or escalation?
Topic:
War, Military Strategy, Homeland Security, Peace, and Strategic Interests
The decision by Turkey and Israel to normalize their relations stems
from several processes that brought the Turkish side to push for
normalization and the Israeli side to respond affirmatively. Yet
alongside the serious motivations of the two sides to continue this
process, there are issues that could become obstacles. Among them
are the developments between Israel and the Palestinians, Turkey-US
relations, the dynamics of Turkey's integration in processes related to
the Abraham Accords, and the nature of future Israeli plans regarding
gas exports. Nonetheless, coping with challenges related to these
issues will be easier with senior diplomatic representation present in
both countries.
Topic:
Diplomacy, Bilateral Relations, Normalization, and Strategic Interests
Bat Chen Druyan Feldman, Gallia Lindenstrauss, and Arkady Mil-Man
Publication Date:
08-2022
Content Type:
Working Paper
Institution:
Institute for National Security Studies (INSS)
Abstract:
The Presidents of Russia and Turkey held a four-hour meeting recently in Sochi, along the shores of the Black Sea, and discussed a range of subjects, from trade and energy to involvement in different combat arenas. What are the two leaders’ respective interests in their dialogue – and what should Israel conclude from the deepening cooperation between Ankara and Moscow?
Topic:
Diplomacy, Bilateral Relations, Hegemony, Conflict, and Strategic Interests
Raz Zimmt, Gallia Lindenstrauss, Bat Chen Druyan Feldman, and Arkady Mil-Man
Publication Date:
07-2022
Content Type:
Working Paper
Institution:
Institute for National Security Studies (INSS)
Abstract:
The three-way summit between Presidents Raisi, Putin, and Erdogan intended to present a unified front against the Western axis, which imposes various levels of sanctions on the three states. But despite the cordial photos and warm handshakes, there are serious disputes between Tehran, Moscow, and Ankara. They are rivals no less than they are partners, and it is doubtful whether their meeting will lead to any substantive gains
Topic:
Diplomacy, International Cooperation, Hegemony, and Strategic Interests
Gallia Lindenstrauss, Christoph Becker, and Remi Daniel
Publication Date:
06-2022
Content Type:
Working Paper
Institution:
Institute for National Security Studies (INSS)
Abstract:
“The Prime Minister of Greece no longer exists for me,” declared Turkey’s President, reflecting a break in the rapprochement seen over the past year between Ankara and Athens. What lies behind this change of approach, and how does this affect Israel’s relations with Eastern Mediterranean states?
Topic:
Diplomacy, International Cooperation, Regional Cooperation, and Leadership
Political Geography:
Europe, Turkey, Greece, North America, United States of America, and Mediterranean
After a decade of hostility, and against the background of Turkey’s weak economic situation and Iran’s expanded regional presence, there is a significant improvement in the relations between Ankara and Abu Dhabi and Riyadh. What opportunities might this change bring for the region, and how might this affect Israel’s relations with Turkey and with the Gulf countries?
Topic:
International Cooperation, Alliance, Strategic Interests, and Regional Power
Turkey’s reaction to the Russian aggression in Ukraine was among the more moderate responses heard from NATO members. With an eye to the post-war situation, Ankara is trying to walk a tightrope and not overly provoke either side. What lies behind this Turkish policy, and is it viable?