Content Type: Policy Brief / Publishing Institution: Oxford Economics / Political Geography: Japan / Topic: International Trade and Finance

Publication Date:: 06-2013
Content Type:: Policy Brief
Institution:: Oxford Economics
Abstract:: Shinzo Abe was elected Prime Minister of Japan last December on a programme intended to end two decades of deflation and lost growth in Japan. His regime, dubbed 'Abenomics', consists of three arrows: a monetary stimulus, a fiscal stimulus and structural reform. The first two are well under way. The third has yet to be fired. But following his party's victory in July's Upper House election, Mr Abe has all the backing he will need – or ever get – to forcefully launch the third arrow of Abenomics. This scenario alert examines the potential upsides for the Japanese economy if Abenomics succeeds. Although the economy will not return to the 4%+ growth rates seen in the 1980s, it could secure growth in the 2-3% range. This would be a major improvement on its dismal performance of less than 1% average real growth a year since 1993.
Topic:: Economics, International Trade and Finance, Markets, Monetary Policy, and Reform
Political Geography:: Japan and Syria

Publication Date:: 07-2011
Content Type:: Policy Brief
Institution:: Oxford Economics
Abstract:: Recent weeks have seen a slew of weaker-than-expected data releases from the major economies, raising doubts about whether the expansion in the developed nations is sustainable. One reason for the apparent loss of momentum has been the moderation of growth in the emerging markets, as central banks have tightened monetary policy in response to rising inflation. The weakening trend in growth indicators can also be linked to temporary adverse factors, including supply chain disruptions form the Japanese earthquake and tsunami, as well as the sharp rise in oil prices earlier this year.
Topic:: Economics, Globalization, International Trade and Finance, and Financial Crisis
Political Geography:: Japan

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