9501. The Black Swan of Cairo
- Author:
- Mark Blyth and Nassim Nicholas Taleb
- Publication Date:
- 05-2011
- Content Type:
- Journal Article
- Journal:
- Foreign Affairs
- Institution:
- Council on Foreign Relations
- Abstract:
- The upheavals in the Middle East have much in common with the recent global financial crisis: both were plausible worst-case scenarios whose probability was dramatically underestimated. When policymakers try to suppress economic or political volatility, they only increase the risk of blowups.
- Topic:
- War
- Political Geography:
- Middle East and Egypt